The Response of Ionospheric Currents to External Drivers Investigated Using a Neural Network‐Based Model

Abstract A predictive model for the variation of ionospheric currents is of great scientific and practical importance to our modern industrial society. To study the response of ionospheric currents to external drivers including geomagnetic indices and solar radiation, we developed a feedforward neur...

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Main Authors: Xin Cao, Xiangning Chu, Jacob Bortnik, James M. Weygand, Jinxing Li, Homayon Aryan, Donglai Ma
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-09-01
Series:Space Weather
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023SW003506
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author Xin Cao
Xiangning Chu
Jacob Bortnik
James M. Weygand
Jinxing Li
Homayon Aryan
Donglai Ma
author_facet Xin Cao
Xiangning Chu
Jacob Bortnik
James M. Weygand
Jinxing Li
Homayon Aryan
Donglai Ma
author_sort Xin Cao
collection DOAJ
description Abstract A predictive model for the variation of ionospheric currents is of great scientific and practical importance to our modern industrial society. To study the response of ionospheric currents to external drivers including geomagnetic indices and solar radiation, we developed a feedforward neural network model trained on the Equivalent Ionospheric Current (EIC) data from 1st January 2007 to 31st December 2019. Due to the highly imbalanced nature of the ionospheric currents data, which means that the data of extreme events are much less than those of quiet times, we utilized different loss functions to improve the model performance. Our model demonstrates the potential to predict the active events of ionospheric currents reasonably well (e.g., EICs during substorms) within a timescale of a few minutes. Although the data used for training are measurements over the North American and Greenland sectors, our model is not only able to predict EICs within this region, but is also able to provide a promising out‐of‐sample prediction on a global scale.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1542-7390
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series Space Weather
spelling doaj-art-1d8de361e478456994cec3055a554aa42025-01-14T16:31:22ZengWileySpace Weather1542-73902023-09-01219n/an/a10.1029/2023SW003506The Response of Ionospheric Currents to External Drivers Investigated Using a Neural Network‐Based ModelXin Cao0Xiangning Chu1Jacob Bortnik2James M. Weygand3Jinxing Li4Homayon Aryan5Donglai Ma6Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics University of Colorado Boulder Boulder CO USALaboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics University of Colorado Boulder Boulder CO USADepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences University of California Los Angeles Los Angeles CA USADepartment of Earth, Planetary and Space Sciences University of California Los Angeles Los Angeles CA USADepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences University of California Los Angeles Los Angeles CA USADepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences University of California Los Angeles Los Angeles CA USADepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences University of California Los Angeles Los Angeles CA USAAbstract A predictive model for the variation of ionospheric currents is of great scientific and practical importance to our modern industrial society. To study the response of ionospheric currents to external drivers including geomagnetic indices and solar radiation, we developed a feedforward neural network model trained on the Equivalent Ionospheric Current (EIC) data from 1st January 2007 to 31st December 2019. Due to the highly imbalanced nature of the ionospheric currents data, which means that the data of extreme events are much less than those of quiet times, we utilized different loss functions to improve the model performance. Our model demonstrates the potential to predict the active events of ionospheric currents reasonably well (e.g., EICs during substorms) within a timescale of a few minutes. Although the data used for training are measurements over the North American and Greenland sectors, our model is not only able to predict EICs within this region, but is also able to provide a promising out‐of‐sample prediction on a global scale.https://doi.org/10.1029/2023SW003506machine learningequivalent ionospheric currentsgeomagnetically induced currentsneural network
spellingShingle Xin Cao
Xiangning Chu
Jacob Bortnik
James M. Weygand
Jinxing Li
Homayon Aryan
Donglai Ma
The Response of Ionospheric Currents to External Drivers Investigated Using a Neural Network‐Based Model
Space Weather
machine learning
equivalent ionospheric currents
geomagnetically induced currents
neural network
title The Response of Ionospheric Currents to External Drivers Investigated Using a Neural Network‐Based Model
title_full The Response of Ionospheric Currents to External Drivers Investigated Using a Neural Network‐Based Model
title_fullStr The Response of Ionospheric Currents to External Drivers Investigated Using a Neural Network‐Based Model
title_full_unstemmed The Response of Ionospheric Currents to External Drivers Investigated Using a Neural Network‐Based Model
title_short The Response of Ionospheric Currents to External Drivers Investigated Using a Neural Network‐Based Model
title_sort response of ionospheric currents to external drivers investigated using a neural network based model
topic machine learning
equivalent ionospheric currents
geomagnetically induced currents
neural network
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2023SW003506
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