Advanced Earthquake Magnitude Prediction Using Regression and Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks

Earthquake magnitude prediction is critical in seismology, with significant implications for disaster risk management and mitigation. This study presents a novel earthquake magnitude prediction model by integrating regression analysis with Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks (CRNNs). It utilises...

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Main Authors: Asep Id Hadiana, Rifaz Muhammad Sukma, Eddie Krishna Putra
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ikatan Ahli Informatika Indonesia 2024-08-01
Series:Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi)
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Online Access:https://jurnal.iaii.or.id/index.php/RESTI/article/view/5922
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author Asep Id Hadiana
Rifaz Muhammad Sukma
Eddie Krishna Putra
author_facet Asep Id Hadiana
Rifaz Muhammad Sukma
Eddie Krishna Putra
author_sort Asep Id Hadiana
collection DOAJ
description Earthquake magnitude prediction is critical in seismology, with significant implications for disaster risk management and mitigation. This study presents a novel earthquake magnitude prediction model by integrating regression analysis with Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks (CRNNs). It utilises Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) for spatial feature extraction from 2-dimensional seismic signal images and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to capture temporal dependencies. The innovative model architecture incorporates residual connections and specialised regression techniques for sequential data. Validated against a comprehensive seismic dataset, the model achieves a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.1909 and a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.4369, with a coefficient of determination of 0.79772. These metrics, alongside a correlation coefficient of 0.8980, demonstrate the model's accuracy and consistency in predicting earthquake magnitudes, establishing its potential for enhancing seismic risk assessment and informing early warning systems.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2580-0760
language English
publishDate 2024-08-01
publisher Ikatan Ahli Informatika Indonesia
record_format Article
series Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi)
spelling doaj-art-1d2639944b4e46a0b2a7c69906ccff6b2025-01-13T03:33:02ZengIkatan Ahli Informatika IndonesiaJurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi)2580-07602024-08-018457157810.29207/resti.v8i4.59225922Advanced Earthquake Magnitude Prediction Using Regression and Convolutional Recurrent Neural NetworksAsep Id Hadiana0Rifaz Muhammad Sukma1Eddie Krishna Putra2Universitas Jenderal Achmad YaniUniversitas Jenderal Achmad YaniUniversitas Jenderal Achmad YaniEarthquake magnitude prediction is critical in seismology, with significant implications for disaster risk management and mitigation. This study presents a novel earthquake magnitude prediction model by integrating regression analysis with Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks (CRNNs). It utilises Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) for spatial feature extraction from 2-dimensional seismic signal images and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to capture temporal dependencies. The innovative model architecture incorporates residual connections and specialised regression techniques for sequential data. Validated against a comprehensive seismic dataset, the model achieves a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.1909 and a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.4369, with a coefficient of determination of 0.79772. These metrics, alongside a correlation coefficient of 0.8980, demonstrate the model's accuracy and consistency in predicting earthquake magnitudes, establishing its potential for enhancing seismic risk assessment and informing early warning systems.https://jurnal.iaii.or.id/index.php/RESTI/article/view/5922magnitude predictioncrnnregression techniquesseismic data analysismachine learning
spellingShingle Asep Id Hadiana
Rifaz Muhammad Sukma
Eddie Krishna Putra
Advanced Earthquake Magnitude Prediction Using Regression and Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks
Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi)
magnitude prediction
crnn
regression techniques
seismic data analysis
machine learning
title Advanced Earthquake Magnitude Prediction Using Regression and Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks
title_full Advanced Earthquake Magnitude Prediction Using Regression and Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks
title_fullStr Advanced Earthquake Magnitude Prediction Using Regression and Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks
title_full_unstemmed Advanced Earthquake Magnitude Prediction Using Regression and Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks
title_short Advanced Earthquake Magnitude Prediction Using Regression and Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks
title_sort advanced earthquake magnitude prediction using regression and convolutional recurrent neural networks
topic magnitude prediction
crnn
regression techniques
seismic data analysis
machine learning
url https://jurnal.iaii.or.id/index.php/RESTI/article/view/5922
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AT rifazmuhammadsukma advancedearthquakemagnitudepredictionusingregressionandconvolutionalrecurrentneuralnetworks
AT eddiekrishnaputra advancedearthquakemagnitudepredictionusingregressionandconvolutionalrecurrentneuralnetworks