Advanced Earthquake Magnitude Prediction Using Regression and Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks
Earthquake magnitude prediction is critical in seismology, with significant implications for disaster risk management and mitigation. This study presents a novel earthquake magnitude prediction model by integrating regression analysis with Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks (CRNNs). It utilises...
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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Ikatan Ahli Informatika Indonesia
2024-08-01
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| Series: | Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://jurnal.iaii.or.id/index.php/RESTI/article/view/5922 |
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| Summary: | Earthquake magnitude prediction is critical in seismology, with significant implications for disaster risk management and mitigation. This study presents a novel earthquake magnitude prediction model by integrating regression analysis with Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks (CRNNs). It utilises Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) for spatial feature extraction from 2-dimensional seismic signal images and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to capture temporal dependencies. The innovative model architecture incorporates residual connections and specialised regression techniques for sequential data. Validated against a comprehensive seismic dataset, the model achieves a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.1909 and a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.4369, with a coefficient of determination of 0.79772. These metrics, alongside a correlation coefficient of 0.8980, demonstrate the model's accuracy and consistency in predicting earthquake magnitudes, establishing its potential for enhancing seismic risk assessment and informing early warning systems. |
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| ISSN: | 2580-0760 |