Blending-Based Ensemble Learning Low-Voltage Station Area Theft Detection

In order to improve the efficiency of electricity theft detection, the power theft detection area and users should be better integrated, we proposed a Blending ensemble learning electricity theft detection model based on the Base Learner Selection Strategy (BLSS). Firstly, the adaptive synthetic (AD...

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Main Authors: Dunchu Chen, Wenwu Li, Jie Fang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-12-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/1/31
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author Dunchu Chen
Wenwu Li
Jie Fang
author_facet Dunchu Chen
Wenwu Li
Jie Fang
author_sort Dunchu Chen
collection DOAJ
description In order to improve the efficiency of electricity theft detection, the power theft detection area and users should be better integrated, we proposed a Blending ensemble learning electricity theft detection model based on the Base Learner Selection Strategy (BLSS). Firstly, the adaptive synthetic (ADASYN) sampling method is used to process the unbalanced power consumption data, and the sample distribution of training data is balanced. Secondly, the BLSS selection method is used to screen the optimal base learner combination and construct the Blending ensemble learning model. Then, based on the historical data, the model makes a short-term prediction of the power consumption of the station area the next day, and focuses on the verification of the suspected energy-stealing station area where the Root Mean Square Percentage Error (RSPE) exceeds the threshold, so as to lock in the potential energy stealing users. Finally, through the comparison and verification of real examples, the search scope for electricity theft inspections was reduced by 79.17%, greatly improving the detection efficiency of the power supply company. At the same time, the model’s electricity theft detection and recognition accuracy rate can be as high as 97.50%. The Blending ensemble learning electricity stealing detection model based on the BLSS base learner selection method has strong electricity stealing detection and recognition ability.
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spelling doaj-art-1c60cbd6b9734c6c9d85af42ac3e162b2025-01-10T13:16:53ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732024-12-011813110.3390/en18010031Blending-Based Ensemble Learning Low-Voltage Station Area Theft DetectionDunchu Chen0Wenwu Li1Jie Fang2College of Electrical Engineering and New Energy, China Three Gorges University, Yichang 443002, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering and New Energy, China Three Gorges University, Yichang 443002, ChinaCollege of Electrical Engineering and New Energy, China Three Gorges University, Yichang 443002, ChinaIn order to improve the efficiency of electricity theft detection, the power theft detection area and users should be better integrated, we proposed a Blending ensemble learning electricity theft detection model based on the Base Learner Selection Strategy (BLSS). Firstly, the adaptive synthetic (ADASYN) sampling method is used to process the unbalanced power consumption data, and the sample distribution of training data is balanced. Secondly, the BLSS selection method is used to screen the optimal base learner combination and construct the Blending ensemble learning model. Then, based on the historical data, the model makes a short-term prediction of the power consumption of the station area the next day, and focuses on the verification of the suspected energy-stealing station area where the Root Mean Square Percentage Error (RSPE) exceeds the threshold, so as to lock in the potential energy stealing users. Finally, through the comparison and verification of real examples, the search scope for electricity theft inspections was reduced by 79.17%, greatly improving the detection efficiency of the power supply company. At the same time, the model’s electricity theft detection and recognition accuracy rate can be as high as 97.50%. The Blending ensemble learning electricity stealing detection model based on the BLSS base learner selection method has strong electricity stealing detection and recognition ability.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/1/31blending combination strategyensemble learningelectricity stealing detectionunbalanced data
spellingShingle Dunchu Chen
Wenwu Li
Jie Fang
Blending-Based Ensemble Learning Low-Voltage Station Area Theft Detection
Energies
blending combination strategy
ensemble learning
electricity stealing detection
unbalanced data
title Blending-Based Ensemble Learning Low-Voltage Station Area Theft Detection
title_full Blending-Based Ensemble Learning Low-Voltage Station Area Theft Detection
title_fullStr Blending-Based Ensemble Learning Low-Voltage Station Area Theft Detection
title_full_unstemmed Blending-Based Ensemble Learning Low-Voltage Station Area Theft Detection
title_short Blending-Based Ensemble Learning Low-Voltage Station Area Theft Detection
title_sort blending based ensemble learning low voltage station area theft detection
topic blending combination strategy
ensemble learning
electricity stealing detection
unbalanced data
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/1/31
work_keys_str_mv AT dunchuchen blendingbasedensemblelearninglowvoltagestationareatheftdetection
AT wenwuli blendingbasedensemblelearninglowvoltagestationareatheftdetection
AT jiefang blendingbasedensemblelearninglowvoltagestationareatheftdetection