Short-term multi-step wind speed prediction using statistical methods and artificial neural networks

The results of the observations made by TUBITAKT60 national observation house meteorological station in April, 2016 werecompiled on this website using the PHP programming language. Obtained windspeed data were analysed using statistical and artificial neural networkmethods and predicted wind speed p...

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Main Author: İsmail Kırbaş
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sakarya University 2018-02-01
Series:Sakarya Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/332568
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author İsmail Kırbaş
author_facet İsmail Kırbaş
author_sort İsmail Kırbaş
collection DOAJ
description The results of the observations made by TUBITAKT60 national observation house meteorological station in April, 2016 werecompiled on this website using the PHP programming language. Obtained windspeed data were analysed using statistical and artificial neural networkmethods and predicted wind speed predictions over the time series brought tothe field. There is a significant difference in error rates between the ARIMAmodels and the artificial neural networks examined as a result of comparisonswith the calculated calculations and actual data. While the wind speedestimation studies in the literature generally focus only on single stepprediction success, detailed evaluation of commonly used estimation methods atthe prospective 12 step level has been carried out.
format Article
id doaj-art-1b9a601e0fb8450aa90c84f0d09c62a4
institution Kabale University
issn 2147-835X
language English
publishDate 2018-02-01
publisher Sakarya University
record_format Article
series Sakarya Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi
spelling doaj-art-1b9a601e0fb8450aa90c84f0d09c62a42024-12-23T07:57:11ZengSakarya UniversitySakarya Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi2147-835X2018-02-01221243810.16984/saufenbilder.30522428Short-term multi-step wind speed prediction using statistical methods and artificial neural networksİsmail Kırbaş0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1206-8294MEHMET AKİF ERSOY ÜNİVERSİTESİ, MÜHENDİSLİK-MİMARLIK FAKÜLTESİ, BİLGİSAYAR MÜHENDİSLİĞİ BÖLÜMÜThe results of the observations made by TUBITAKT60 national observation house meteorological station in April, 2016 werecompiled on this website using the PHP programming language. Obtained windspeed data were analysed using statistical and artificial neural networkmethods and predicted wind speed predictions over the time series brought tothe field. There is a significant difference in error rates between the ARIMAmodels and the artificial neural networks examined as a result of comparisonswith the calculated calculations and actual data. While the wind speedestimation studies in the literature generally focus only on single stepprediction success, detailed evaluation of commonly used estimation methods atthe prospective 12 step level has been carried out.https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/332568rüzgâr hız tahminiarimanaryapay sinir ağızaman serilerikısa dönemli tahmin metotlarıwind speed predictionarimanarartificial neural networktime seriesshort term prediction methods
spellingShingle İsmail Kırbaş
Short-term multi-step wind speed prediction using statistical methods and artificial neural networks
Sakarya Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi
rüzgâr hız tahmini
arima
nar
yapay sinir ağı
zaman serileri
kısa dönemli tahmin metotları
wind speed prediction
arima
nar
artificial neural network
time series
short term prediction methods
title Short-term multi-step wind speed prediction using statistical methods and artificial neural networks
title_full Short-term multi-step wind speed prediction using statistical methods and artificial neural networks
title_fullStr Short-term multi-step wind speed prediction using statistical methods and artificial neural networks
title_full_unstemmed Short-term multi-step wind speed prediction using statistical methods and artificial neural networks
title_short Short-term multi-step wind speed prediction using statistical methods and artificial neural networks
title_sort short term multi step wind speed prediction using statistical methods and artificial neural networks
topic rüzgâr hız tahmini
arima
nar
yapay sinir ağı
zaman serileri
kısa dönemli tahmin metotları
wind speed prediction
arima
nar
artificial neural network
time series
short term prediction methods
url https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/332568
work_keys_str_mv AT ismailkırbas shorttermmultistepwindspeedpredictionusingstatisticalmethodsandartificialneuralnetworks