Probabilistic geotechnical engineering analysis based on first order reliability method

Limit equilibrium engineering analysis needs the incorporation of probabilistic approaches for the determination of soil strength statistical measures for deterministic and probabilistic analyses. For the commonly used Mohr–Coulomb strength model, the uncertainty and the characteristic values of coh...

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Main Author: Georgios Belokas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Gruppo Italiano Frattura 2019-09-01
Series:Fracture and Structural Integrity
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Online Access:https://www.fracturae.com/index.php/fis/article/view/2603
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author Georgios Belokas
author_facet Georgios Belokas
author_sort Georgios Belokas
collection DOAJ
description Limit equilibrium engineering analysis needs the incorporation of probabilistic approaches for the determination of soil strength statistical measures for deterministic and probabilistic analyses. For the commonly used Mohr–Coulomb strength model, the uncertainty and the characteristic values of cohesion (c) and angle of shearing resistance (φ) determination is not straight­­forward. This paper applies the first order reliability method (FORM) to estimate these values from the direct shear and the typical triaxial tests. The method is verified with test data. Furthermore, the FORM is applied to the planar failure limit equilibrium problem to determine the statistical measures of the safety margin (SM) and safety factor (SF). It is observed that the critical slip surface for the best estimate of the mean (SMm, SFm), for a 5% probability of exceedance (SMp=5%, SFp=5%) and for the characteristic value (SMk, SFk) do not coincide. It is interesting that the maximum probability of having a SM<0 or SF<1 does not correspond to the minimum best estimate of the SM or SF. FORM can be a very useful tool for complete probabilistic analyses. Further­more, probabilistic approaches applied to soil properties estimation can set a framework for the selection of their characteristic values for deterministic analyses.
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spelling doaj-art-1b14f6f07c4941a897cbd23525152b152025-01-02T23:01:01ZengGruppo Italiano FratturaFracture and Structural Integrity1971-89932019-09-011350Probabilistic geotechnical engineering analysis based on first order reliability methodGeorgios Belokas0University of West AtticaLimit equilibrium engineering analysis needs the incorporation of probabilistic approaches for the determination of soil strength statistical measures for deterministic and probabilistic analyses. For the commonly used Mohr–Coulomb strength model, the uncertainty and the characteristic values of cohesion (c) and angle of shearing resistance (φ) determination is not straight­­forward. This paper applies the first order reliability method (FORM) to estimate these values from the direct shear and the typical triaxial tests. The method is verified with test data. Furthermore, the FORM is applied to the planar failure limit equilibrium problem to determine the statistical measures of the safety margin (SM) and safety factor (SF). It is observed that the critical slip surface for the best estimate of the mean (SMm, SFm), for a 5% probability of exceedance (SMp=5%, SFp=5%) and for the characteristic value (SMk, SFk) do not coincide. It is interesting that the maximum probability of having a SM<0 or SF<1 does not correspond to the minimum best estimate of the SM or SF. FORM can be a very useful tool for complete probabilistic analyses. Further­more, probabilistic approaches applied to soil properties estimation can set a framework for the selection of their characteristic values for deterministic analyses.https://www.fracturae.com/index.php/fis/article/view/2603Soil strengthGeotechnical engineeringProbabilistic approachesReliabilityCharacteristic values
spellingShingle Georgios Belokas
Probabilistic geotechnical engineering analysis based on first order reliability method
Fracture and Structural Integrity
Soil strength
Geotechnical engineering
Probabilistic approaches
Reliability
Characteristic values
title Probabilistic geotechnical engineering analysis based on first order reliability method
title_full Probabilistic geotechnical engineering analysis based on first order reliability method
title_fullStr Probabilistic geotechnical engineering analysis based on first order reliability method
title_full_unstemmed Probabilistic geotechnical engineering analysis based on first order reliability method
title_short Probabilistic geotechnical engineering analysis based on first order reliability method
title_sort probabilistic geotechnical engineering analysis based on first order reliability method
topic Soil strength
Geotechnical engineering
Probabilistic approaches
Reliability
Characteristic values
url https://www.fracturae.com/index.php/fis/article/view/2603
work_keys_str_mv AT georgiosbelokas probabilisticgeotechnicalengineeringanalysisbasedonfirstorderreliabilitymethod