Timing evolution and prediction of Internet transmission behavior

The transmission behavior of Internet plays an importance role in the research on the relationship between network topology structure and dynamic behavior.Selecting effective path samples in four monitoring points which from different regions authorized by CAIDA_Ark project and statistics network tr...

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Main Authors: He TIAN, Hai ZHAO, Jinfa WANG, Chuan LIN
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Department of Journal on Communications 2018-06-01
Series:Tongxin xuebao
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.joconline.com.cn/zh/article/doi/10.11959/j.issn.1000-436x.2018096/
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author He TIAN
Hai ZHAO
Jinfa WANG
Chuan LIN
author_facet He TIAN
Hai ZHAO
Jinfa WANG
Chuan LIN
author_sort He TIAN
collection DOAJ
description The transmission behavior of Internet plays an importance role in the research on the relationship between network topology structure and dynamic behavior.Selecting effective path samples in four monitoring points which from different regions authorized by CAIDA_Ark project and statistics network traveling time and traveling diameter,their correlation is very weak,network traveling time is presented on multi-peak and heavy tail distribution.Using nonlinear time sequences analysis method to identify the Chaos characteristics of network traveling time evolution sequences.The results show that their timing evolution has Chaos characteristics.Based on this,the Logistic equation was lead to establish network transmission behavior prediction model,and particle swarm optimization (PSO) was used to optimize model parameters.The model by the network traveling time sequences of four monitoring points was experimented,evaluated it from accuracy and availability,the results show that the model can predict network transmission behavior accurately in the short term.It can be used as a tool for predicting the network behaviors’ evolution in a period of time.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1000-436X
language zho
publishDate 2018-06-01
publisher Editorial Department of Journal on Communications
record_format Article
series Tongxin xuebao
spelling doaj-art-1a698990f2a44f75b1a08138c0f8a5d52025-01-14T07:14:58ZzhoEditorial Department of Journal on CommunicationsTongxin xuebao1000-436X2018-06-013911612659718910Timing evolution and prediction of Internet transmission behaviorHe TIANHai ZHAOJinfa WANGChuan LINThe transmission behavior of Internet plays an importance role in the research on the relationship between network topology structure and dynamic behavior.Selecting effective path samples in four monitoring points which from different regions authorized by CAIDA_Ark project and statistics network traveling time and traveling diameter,their correlation is very weak,network traveling time is presented on multi-peak and heavy tail distribution.Using nonlinear time sequences analysis method to identify the Chaos characteristics of network traveling time evolution sequences.The results show that their timing evolution has Chaos characteristics.Based on this,the Logistic equation was lead to establish network transmission behavior prediction model,and particle swarm optimization (PSO) was used to optimize model parameters.The model by the network traveling time sequences of four monitoring points was experimented,evaluated it from accuracy and availability,the results show that the model can predict network transmission behavior accurately in the short term.It can be used as a tool for predicting the network behaviors’ evolution in a period of time.http://www.joconline.com.cn/zh/article/doi/10.11959/j.issn.1000-436x.2018096/Internet transmissionnetwork traveling timeLogistic modelChaos characteristicsbehavior prediction
spellingShingle He TIAN
Hai ZHAO
Jinfa WANG
Chuan LIN
Timing evolution and prediction of Internet transmission behavior
Tongxin xuebao
Internet transmission
network traveling time
Logistic model
Chaos characteristics
behavior prediction
title Timing evolution and prediction of Internet transmission behavior
title_full Timing evolution and prediction of Internet transmission behavior
title_fullStr Timing evolution and prediction of Internet transmission behavior
title_full_unstemmed Timing evolution and prediction of Internet transmission behavior
title_short Timing evolution and prediction of Internet transmission behavior
title_sort timing evolution and prediction of internet transmission behavior
topic Internet transmission
network traveling time
Logistic model
Chaos characteristics
behavior prediction
url http://www.joconline.com.cn/zh/article/doi/10.11959/j.issn.1000-436x.2018096/
work_keys_str_mv AT hetian timingevolutionandpredictionofinternettransmissionbehavior
AT haizhao timingevolutionandpredictionofinternettransmissionbehavior
AT jinfawang timingevolutionandpredictionofinternettransmissionbehavior
AT chuanlin timingevolutionandpredictionofinternettransmissionbehavior