Assessing the Effects of Climate Change on Temperature and Precipitation using CMIP6 models (case study: Damghan, Iran)
Nowadays, one of the most fundamental challenges for human society and the natural environment is climate change. Human activities play an important role in increasing the temperature in different temporal-spatial scales. In this research, the sixth report scenarios of climate change by IPCC were us...
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Shahrood University of Technology
2024-01-01
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| Series: | Journal of Hydraulic and Water Engineering |
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| Online Access: | https://jhwe.shahroodut.ac.ir/article_3077_5d70bcc5481ac9eef04c9d407519bcaf.pdf |
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| author | Sina Shahi Khosrow Hosseini Seyed Farfad Mousavi |
| author_facet | Sina Shahi Khosrow Hosseini Seyed Farfad Mousavi |
| author_sort | Sina Shahi |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Nowadays, one of the most fundamental challenges for human society and the natural environment is climate change. Human activities play an important role in increasing the temperature in different temporal-spatial scales. In this research, the sixth report scenarios of climate change by IPCC were used to evaluate the effects of climate change on the Temperature and Precipitation in Damghan, Iran. Climate change occurrence was predicted by using the HadGEM3 and CanESM5 models under the SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 scenarios. The rainfall data from the Damghan synoptic meteorological station and Damghan rain gauge station have been used for calibration and validation for the 2000-2020 period. Then, a prediction was made for the 2020-2040 period. To predict the future temperatures (2020- 2040), minimum and maximum temperature data from the Damghan synoptic station was used. LARS-WG6 software was applied for the statistical downscaling of climatic data. Then, by using the predicted temperatures and rainfall under the climate change scenarios, the outflow intensity and pollution load of the reservoir water for 2020-2040 was presented. Considering the increase in the pollution load in some seasons and months and the downstream use of water, the construction of a water treatment plant and prevention of pollutants from entering the urban drinking water network is suggested. If management methods are planned and applied, the water quality of the dam reservoir can be improved. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-1972ef4a70cd4f56824b3a54c5d6a7be |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2980-986X |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-01-01 |
| publisher | Shahrood University of Technology |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Hydraulic and Water Engineering |
| spelling | doaj-art-1972ef4a70cd4f56824b3a54c5d6a7be2024-12-01T04:49:05ZengShahrood University of TechnologyJournal of Hydraulic and Water Engineering2980-986X2024-01-011216317710.22044/jhwe.2024.14150.10343077Assessing the Effects of Climate Change on Temperature and Precipitation using CMIP6 models (case study: Damghan, Iran)Sina Shahi0Khosrow Hosseini1Seyed Farfad Mousavi2M.Sc. of Water Resource Management and Engineering, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Semnan University, Semnan, Iran.Professor, Department of Water Engineering and Hydraulic Structures, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Semnan University, Semnan, Iran.Professor, Department of Water Engineering and Hydraulic Structures, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Semnan University, Semnan, Iran.Nowadays, one of the most fundamental challenges for human society and the natural environment is climate change. Human activities play an important role in increasing the temperature in different temporal-spatial scales. In this research, the sixth report scenarios of climate change by IPCC were used to evaluate the effects of climate change on the Temperature and Precipitation in Damghan, Iran. Climate change occurrence was predicted by using the HadGEM3 and CanESM5 models under the SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 scenarios. The rainfall data from the Damghan synoptic meteorological station and Damghan rain gauge station have been used for calibration and validation for the 2000-2020 period. Then, a prediction was made for the 2020-2040 period. To predict the future temperatures (2020- 2040), minimum and maximum temperature data from the Damghan synoptic station was used. LARS-WG6 software was applied for the statistical downscaling of climatic data. Then, by using the predicted temperatures and rainfall under the climate change scenarios, the outflow intensity and pollution load of the reservoir water for 2020-2040 was presented. Considering the increase in the pollution load in some seasons and months and the downstream use of water, the construction of a water treatment plant and prevention of pollutants from entering the urban drinking water network is suggested. If management methods are planned and applied, the water quality of the dam reservoir can be improved.https://jhwe.shahroodut.ac.ir/article_3077_5d70bcc5481ac9eef04c9d407519bcaf.pdfclimate changegreenhouse gasesdamghanlars-wgswat |
| spellingShingle | Sina Shahi Khosrow Hosseini Seyed Farfad Mousavi Assessing the Effects of Climate Change on Temperature and Precipitation using CMIP6 models (case study: Damghan, Iran) Journal of Hydraulic and Water Engineering climate change greenhouse gases damghan lars-wg swat |
| title | Assessing the Effects of Climate Change on Temperature and Precipitation using CMIP6 models (case study: Damghan, Iran) |
| title_full | Assessing the Effects of Climate Change on Temperature and Precipitation using CMIP6 models (case study: Damghan, Iran) |
| title_fullStr | Assessing the Effects of Climate Change on Temperature and Precipitation using CMIP6 models (case study: Damghan, Iran) |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessing the Effects of Climate Change on Temperature and Precipitation using CMIP6 models (case study: Damghan, Iran) |
| title_short | Assessing the Effects of Climate Change on Temperature and Precipitation using CMIP6 models (case study: Damghan, Iran) |
| title_sort | assessing the effects of climate change on temperature and precipitation using cmip6 models case study damghan iran |
| topic | climate change greenhouse gases damghan lars-wg swat |
| url | https://jhwe.shahroodut.ac.ir/article_3077_5d70bcc5481ac9eef04c9d407519bcaf.pdf |
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