Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food security

The complex relationship between climate change and major crop output poses urgent challenges for contemporary food production systems. Recognizing the diverse responses of different crops to climatic stressors, it is necessary to investigate the repercussions of climate-induced shifts in various cr...

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Main Authors: Abdikafi Hassan Abdi, Mohamed Okash Sugow, Dhaqane Roble Halane
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/14735903.2024.2338030
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author Abdikafi Hassan Abdi
Mohamed Okash Sugow
Dhaqane Roble Halane
author_facet Abdikafi Hassan Abdi
Mohamed Okash Sugow
Dhaqane Roble Halane
author_sort Abdikafi Hassan Abdi
collection DOAJ
description The complex relationship between climate change and major crop output poses urgent challenges for contemporary food production systems. Recognizing the diverse responses of different crops to climatic stressors, it is necessary to investigate the repercussions of climate-induced shifts in various crop yields. Focused on the adverse extreme weather impacts on food security, this research employs multiple specifications to assess the effects of climate change on major crops—maize, sorghum, rice, wheat, sugarcane, bananas, and beans—in Somalia using annual data spanning 1991–2019. The empirical findings from the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach reveal that increasing precipitation positively impacts the long-run output of sorghum, sugarcane, and banana while adversely affecting bean production. Conversely, changing temperatures detrimentally affect the long-run output of sorghum, rice, and beans, although they enhance rice and sorghum production in the short-run. Intriguingly, the study reveals that greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and crop-harvested areas significantly enhance the yields of various crops. Moreover, agricultural labour positively impacts bananas while hampering other crop outputs. Based on these results, the study proposes the adoption of climate-resilient crop varieties, investment in irrigation infrastructure, enhanced weather prediction and early warning systems, as well as the promotion of sustainable land management.
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spelling doaj-art-17a1f73e902b4ea39c831f01370a97a22025-01-06T14:27:41ZengTaylor & Francis GroupInternational Journal of Agricultural Sustainability1473-59031747-762X2024-12-0122110.1080/14735903.2024.2338030Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food securityAbdikafi Hassan Abdi0Mohamed Okash Sugow1Dhaqane Roble Halane2Institute of Climate and Environment, SIMAD University, Mogadishu, SomaliaInstitute of Climate and Environment, SIMAD University, Mogadishu, SomaliaInstitute of Climate and Environment, SIMAD University, Mogadishu, SomaliaThe complex relationship between climate change and major crop output poses urgent challenges for contemporary food production systems. Recognizing the diverse responses of different crops to climatic stressors, it is necessary to investigate the repercussions of climate-induced shifts in various crop yields. Focused on the adverse extreme weather impacts on food security, this research employs multiple specifications to assess the effects of climate change on major crops—maize, sorghum, rice, wheat, sugarcane, bananas, and beans—in Somalia using annual data spanning 1991–2019. The empirical findings from the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach reveal that increasing precipitation positively impacts the long-run output of sorghum, sugarcane, and banana while adversely affecting bean production. Conversely, changing temperatures detrimentally affect the long-run output of sorghum, rice, and beans, although they enhance rice and sorghum production in the short-run. Intriguingly, the study reveals that greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and crop-harvested areas significantly enhance the yields of various crops. Moreover, agricultural labour positively impacts bananas while hampering other crop outputs. Based on these results, the study proposes the adoption of climate-resilient crop varieties, investment in irrigation infrastructure, enhanced weather prediction and early warning systems, as well as the promotion of sustainable land management.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/14735903.2024.2338030Climate changemajor cropsfood securityenvironmental degradationcrop productionSomalia
spellingShingle Abdikafi Hassan Abdi
Mohamed Okash Sugow
Dhaqane Roble Halane
Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food security
International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability
Climate change
major crops
food security
environmental degradation
crop production
Somalia
title Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food security
title_full Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food security
title_fullStr Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food security
title_full_unstemmed Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food security
title_short Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food security
title_sort exploring climate change resilience of major crops in somalia implications for ensuring food security
topic Climate change
major crops
food security
environmental degradation
crop production
Somalia
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/14735903.2024.2338030
work_keys_str_mv AT abdikafihassanabdi exploringclimatechangeresilienceofmajorcropsinsomaliaimplicationsforensuringfoodsecurity
AT mohamedokashsugow exploringclimatechangeresilienceofmajorcropsinsomaliaimplicationsforensuringfoodsecurity
AT dhaqaneroblehalane exploringclimatechangeresilienceofmajorcropsinsomaliaimplicationsforensuringfoodsecurity