Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food security
The complex relationship between climate change and major crop output poses urgent challenges for contemporary food production systems. Recognizing the diverse responses of different crops to climatic stressors, it is necessary to investigate the repercussions of climate-induced shifts in various cr...
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Language: | English |
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Taylor & Francis Group
2024-12-01
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Series: | International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability |
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Online Access: | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/14735903.2024.2338030 |
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author | Abdikafi Hassan Abdi Mohamed Okash Sugow Dhaqane Roble Halane |
author_facet | Abdikafi Hassan Abdi Mohamed Okash Sugow Dhaqane Roble Halane |
author_sort | Abdikafi Hassan Abdi |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The complex relationship between climate change and major crop output poses urgent challenges for contemporary food production systems. Recognizing the diverse responses of different crops to climatic stressors, it is necessary to investigate the repercussions of climate-induced shifts in various crop yields. Focused on the adverse extreme weather impacts on food security, this research employs multiple specifications to assess the effects of climate change on major crops—maize, sorghum, rice, wheat, sugarcane, bananas, and beans—in Somalia using annual data spanning 1991–2019. The empirical findings from the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach reveal that increasing precipitation positively impacts the long-run output of sorghum, sugarcane, and banana while adversely affecting bean production. Conversely, changing temperatures detrimentally affect the long-run output of sorghum, rice, and beans, although they enhance rice and sorghum production in the short-run. Intriguingly, the study reveals that greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and crop-harvested areas significantly enhance the yields of various crops. Moreover, agricultural labour positively impacts bananas while hampering other crop outputs. Based on these results, the study proposes the adoption of climate-resilient crop varieties, investment in irrigation infrastructure, enhanced weather prediction and early warning systems, as well as the promotion of sustainable land management. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-17a1f73e902b4ea39c831f01370a97a2 |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1473-5903 1747-762X |
language | English |
publishDate | 2024-12-01 |
publisher | Taylor & Francis Group |
record_format | Article |
series | International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability |
spelling | doaj-art-17a1f73e902b4ea39c831f01370a97a22025-01-06T14:27:41ZengTaylor & Francis GroupInternational Journal of Agricultural Sustainability1473-59031747-762X2024-12-0122110.1080/14735903.2024.2338030Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food securityAbdikafi Hassan Abdi0Mohamed Okash Sugow1Dhaqane Roble Halane2Institute of Climate and Environment, SIMAD University, Mogadishu, SomaliaInstitute of Climate and Environment, SIMAD University, Mogadishu, SomaliaInstitute of Climate and Environment, SIMAD University, Mogadishu, SomaliaThe complex relationship between climate change and major crop output poses urgent challenges for contemporary food production systems. Recognizing the diverse responses of different crops to climatic stressors, it is necessary to investigate the repercussions of climate-induced shifts in various crop yields. Focused on the adverse extreme weather impacts on food security, this research employs multiple specifications to assess the effects of climate change on major crops—maize, sorghum, rice, wheat, sugarcane, bananas, and beans—in Somalia using annual data spanning 1991–2019. The empirical findings from the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach reveal that increasing precipitation positively impacts the long-run output of sorghum, sugarcane, and banana while adversely affecting bean production. Conversely, changing temperatures detrimentally affect the long-run output of sorghum, rice, and beans, although they enhance rice and sorghum production in the short-run. Intriguingly, the study reveals that greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and crop-harvested areas significantly enhance the yields of various crops. Moreover, agricultural labour positively impacts bananas while hampering other crop outputs. Based on these results, the study proposes the adoption of climate-resilient crop varieties, investment in irrigation infrastructure, enhanced weather prediction and early warning systems, as well as the promotion of sustainable land management.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/14735903.2024.2338030Climate changemajor cropsfood securityenvironmental degradationcrop productionSomalia |
spellingShingle | Abdikafi Hassan Abdi Mohamed Okash Sugow Dhaqane Roble Halane Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food security International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability Climate change major crops food security environmental degradation crop production Somalia |
title | Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food security |
title_full | Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food security |
title_fullStr | Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food security |
title_full_unstemmed | Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food security |
title_short | Exploring climate change resilience of major crops in Somalia: implications for ensuring food security |
title_sort | exploring climate change resilience of major crops in somalia implications for ensuring food security |
topic | Climate change major crops food security environmental degradation crop production Somalia |
url | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/14735903.2024.2338030 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT abdikafihassanabdi exploringclimatechangeresilienceofmajorcropsinsomaliaimplicationsforensuringfoodsecurity AT mohamedokashsugow exploringclimatechangeresilienceofmajorcropsinsomaliaimplicationsforensuringfoodsecurity AT dhaqaneroblehalane exploringclimatechangeresilienceofmajorcropsinsomaliaimplicationsforensuringfoodsecurity |