Distribution of air quality health benefits of medium and heavy-duty electrification policies in New York City

Increased electrification of the transportation sector promises to both decrease emissions from the largest sector source of greenhouse gases as well as improve health through better air quality. The objective of this study is to evaluate the distribution of air quality health benefits of Medium- an...

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Main Authors: Brian Naess, Jonathan Buonocore, Veronica Southerland, Muskaan Khemani, Catherine Seppanen, Ananya Roy, Frederica Perera, Kaitlyn E Coomes, Rick Rykowski, Saravanan Arunachalam
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2025-01-01
Series:Environmental Research: Health
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5309/ad9f95
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author Brian Naess
Jonathan Buonocore
Veronica Southerland
Muskaan Khemani
Catherine Seppanen
Ananya Roy
Frederica Perera
Kaitlyn E Coomes
Rick Rykowski
Saravanan Arunachalam
author_facet Brian Naess
Jonathan Buonocore
Veronica Southerland
Muskaan Khemani
Catherine Seppanen
Ananya Roy
Frederica Perera
Kaitlyn E Coomes
Rick Rykowski
Saravanan Arunachalam
author_sort Brian Naess
collection DOAJ
description Increased electrification of the transportation sector promises to both decrease emissions from the largest sector source of greenhouse gases as well as improve health through better air quality. The objective of this study is to evaluate the distribution of air quality health benefits of Medium- and Heavy-Duty Electric Vehicle (MHDEV) policies in New York City (NYC), quantifying differences across neighborhoods (census tracts) and population subgroups (race, ethnicity). We ran an integrated model for a 2040 baseline/business-as-usual scenario and for two policy scenarios simulating different rates of MHDEV adoption, also for 2040. Changes in air quality (fine particulate matter (PM _2.5 ) and nitrogen dioxide (NO _2 )) and health and economic benefits were calculated for the two policy scenarios. We used a modified version of our previously developed ZIP Code-Level Air Pollution Policy Assessment tool which integrates two reduced form models: the Community Air Quality Tools and the Co-Benefits Risk Assessment Health Impacts Screening and Mapping Tool. Our air quality modeling employed a novel receptor network to capture sharp gradients due to medium- and heavy-duty vehicle (MHDV) emissions in the densely populated NYC region. We find that electrification of MHDVs would have substantial air pollution and health benefits for NYC, with full on-road electrification of MHDVs saving $2.4 billion in health costs in 2040, including the prevention of 248 deaths and 173 childhood asthma emergency departments visits. We find that NO _2 benefits contributed between 85% and 97% of the total health benefits, emphasizing its importance for on-road health studies. We find that most health benefits would occur in neighborhoods with the highest percentage of historically marginalized populations, including substantial benefits to Hispanic populations.
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spelling doaj-art-1696e115a63e45d9b3ebdaab7a5b78692025-01-03T10:43:05ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research: Health2752-53092025-01-013101100110.1088/2752-5309/ad9f95Distribution of air quality health benefits of medium and heavy-duty electrification policies in New York CityBrian Naess0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1314-9870Jonathan Buonocore1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7270-892XVeronica Southerland2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0859-9957Muskaan Khemani3https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0692-4151Catherine Seppanen4Ananya Roy5https://orcid.org/0009-0000-7962-4681Frederica Perera6https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2263-7008Kaitlyn E Coomes7Rick Rykowski8Saravanan Arunachalam9https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6836-6944Institute for the Environment, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill , Chapel Hill, NC, United States of AmericaSchool of Public Health, Boston University , Boston, MA, United States of AmericaEnvironmental Defense Fund , Washington, DC, United States of AmericaSchool of Public Health, Boston University , Boston, MA, United States of AmericaInstitute for the Environment, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill , Chapel Hill, NC, United States of AmericaEnvironmental Defense Fund , Washington, DC, United States of AmericaMailman School of Public Health, Columbia University , New York, NY, United States of AmericaMailman School of Public Health, Columbia University , New York, NY, United States of AmericaIndependent contractor to Environmental Defense Fund , Washington, DC, United States of AmericaInstitute for the Environment, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill , Chapel Hill, NC, United States of AmericaIncreased electrification of the transportation sector promises to both decrease emissions from the largest sector source of greenhouse gases as well as improve health through better air quality. The objective of this study is to evaluate the distribution of air quality health benefits of Medium- and Heavy-Duty Electric Vehicle (MHDEV) policies in New York City (NYC), quantifying differences across neighborhoods (census tracts) and population subgroups (race, ethnicity). We ran an integrated model for a 2040 baseline/business-as-usual scenario and for two policy scenarios simulating different rates of MHDEV adoption, also for 2040. Changes in air quality (fine particulate matter (PM _2.5 ) and nitrogen dioxide (NO _2 )) and health and economic benefits were calculated for the two policy scenarios. We used a modified version of our previously developed ZIP Code-Level Air Pollution Policy Assessment tool which integrates two reduced form models: the Community Air Quality Tools and the Co-Benefits Risk Assessment Health Impacts Screening and Mapping Tool. Our air quality modeling employed a novel receptor network to capture sharp gradients due to medium- and heavy-duty vehicle (MHDV) emissions in the densely populated NYC region. We find that electrification of MHDVs would have substantial air pollution and health benefits for NYC, with full on-road electrification of MHDVs saving $2.4 billion in health costs in 2040, including the prevention of 248 deaths and 173 childhood asthma emergency departments visits. We find that NO _2 benefits contributed between 85% and 97% of the total health benefits, emphasizing its importance for on-road health studies. We find that most health benefits would occur in neighborhoods with the highest percentage of historically marginalized populations, including substantial benefits to Hispanic populations.https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5309/ad9f95transportationair pollutionvehicle electrificationhealth impacts
spellingShingle Brian Naess
Jonathan Buonocore
Veronica Southerland
Muskaan Khemani
Catherine Seppanen
Ananya Roy
Frederica Perera
Kaitlyn E Coomes
Rick Rykowski
Saravanan Arunachalam
Distribution of air quality health benefits of medium and heavy-duty electrification policies in New York City
Environmental Research: Health
transportation
air pollution
vehicle electrification
health impacts
title Distribution of air quality health benefits of medium and heavy-duty electrification policies in New York City
title_full Distribution of air quality health benefits of medium and heavy-duty electrification policies in New York City
title_fullStr Distribution of air quality health benefits of medium and heavy-duty electrification policies in New York City
title_full_unstemmed Distribution of air quality health benefits of medium and heavy-duty electrification policies in New York City
title_short Distribution of air quality health benefits of medium and heavy-duty electrification policies in New York City
title_sort distribution of air quality health benefits of medium and heavy duty electrification policies in new york city
topic transportation
air pollution
vehicle electrification
health impacts
url https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5309/ad9f95
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