A study of Summer Rainfall on the Southern Coast of the Caspian Sea Using WRF and Satellite Numerical Forecasting Models

The amount of precipitation plays an essential role in the occurrence of floods. The more accurate the rainfall forecast is, the better the flood can be predicted. Numerical weather forecasting models such as WRF usually do not have suitable outputs for predicting the amount of precipitation in the...

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Main Authors: Donya Sadegh Nezhad, Ebrahim Fatehi, Gholam Ali Kamali, Zahra Ghassabi
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: I.R. of Iran Meteorological Organization 2022-09-01
Series:Nīvār
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Online Access:https://nivar.irimo.ir/article_168045_0b8a10e0bd5b8c50e380a46c39398c61.pdf
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author Donya Sadegh Nezhad
Ebrahim Fatehi
Gholam Ali Kamali
Zahra Ghassabi
author_facet Donya Sadegh Nezhad
Ebrahim Fatehi
Gholam Ali Kamali
Zahra Ghassabi
author_sort Donya Sadegh Nezhad
collection DOAJ
description The amount of precipitation plays an essential role in the occurrence of floods. The more accurate the rainfall forecast is, the better the flood can be predicted. Numerical weather forecasting models such as WRF usually do not have suitable outputs for predicting the amount of precipitation in the first hours of implementation; This is intensified in the summer season on the southern shores of the Caspian Sea in the provinces of Gilan and Mazandaran. Because most of the heavy rains in this season occur in the form of convection and in small spatial and temporal dimensions. Using the extrapolation of GPM, TRMM satellite products to predict short-term rainfall up to 24 hours can be a suitable method to achieve the amount of rainfall with more appropriate resolution and accuracy. In this research, the occurrence of two daily precipitation systems of more than 40 mm in summer on the southern shores of the Caspian Sea was investigated. The results showed that the use of GPM, TRMM satellite products for short-term rainfall forecast up to 24 hours is more accurate compared to the model output. Statistical analysis showed a good correlation between model prediction and ground data and satellite data
format Article
id doaj-art-14dad1569bb14fde8fc353a4b3049ddc
institution Kabale University
issn 1735-0565
2645-3347
language fas
publishDate 2022-09-01
publisher I.R. of Iran Meteorological Organization
record_format Article
series Nīvār
spelling doaj-art-14dad1569bb14fde8fc353a4b3049ddc2025-01-05T11:56:53ZfasI.R. of Iran Meteorological OrganizationNīvār1735-05652645-33472022-09-0146118-11916317410.30467/nivar.2022.168045168045A study of Summer Rainfall on the Southern Coast of the Caspian Sea Using WRF and Satellite Numerical Forecasting ModelsDonya Sadegh Nezhad0Ebrahim Fatehi1Gholam Ali Kamali2Zahra Ghassabi3Doctoral student of Meteorology, Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Unit, TehranAssociate Professor of Climatology, Research Institute of Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences, TehranAssociate Professor of Climatology, Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Unit, TehranAssistant Professor of Meteorology, Research Institute of Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences, TehranThe amount of precipitation plays an essential role in the occurrence of floods. The more accurate the rainfall forecast is, the better the flood can be predicted. Numerical weather forecasting models such as WRF usually do not have suitable outputs for predicting the amount of precipitation in the first hours of implementation; This is intensified in the summer season on the southern shores of the Caspian Sea in the provinces of Gilan and Mazandaran. Because most of the heavy rains in this season occur in the form of convection and in small spatial and temporal dimensions. Using the extrapolation of GPM, TRMM satellite products to predict short-term rainfall up to 24 hours can be a suitable method to achieve the amount of rainfall with more appropriate resolution and accuracy. In this research, the occurrence of two daily precipitation systems of more than 40 mm in summer on the southern shores of the Caspian Sea was investigated. The results showed that the use of GPM, TRMM satellite products for short-term rainfall forecast up to 24 hours is more accurate compared to the model output. Statistical analysis showed a good correlation between model prediction and ground data and satellite datahttps://nivar.irimo.ir/article_168045_0b8a10e0bd5b8c50e380a46c39398c61.pdfsummer rainwrf modelgpm satellite and trmmthe southern shores of the caspian sea
spellingShingle Donya Sadegh Nezhad
Ebrahim Fatehi
Gholam Ali Kamali
Zahra Ghassabi
A study of Summer Rainfall on the Southern Coast of the Caspian Sea Using WRF and Satellite Numerical Forecasting Models
Nīvār
summer rain
wrf model
gpm satellite and trmm
the southern shores of the caspian sea
title A study of Summer Rainfall on the Southern Coast of the Caspian Sea Using WRF and Satellite Numerical Forecasting Models
title_full A study of Summer Rainfall on the Southern Coast of the Caspian Sea Using WRF and Satellite Numerical Forecasting Models
title_fullStr A study of Summer Rainfall on the Southern Coast of the Caspian Sea Using WRF and Satellite Numerical Forecasting Models
title_full_unstemmed A study of Summer Rainfall on the Southern Coast of the Caspian Sea Using WRF and Satellite Numerical Forecasting Models
title_short A study of Summer Rainfall on the Southern Coast of the Caspian Sea Using WRF and Satellite Numerical Forecasting Models
title_sort study of summer rainfall on the southern coast of the caspian sea using wrf and satellite numerical forecasting models
topic summer rain
wrf model
gpm satellite and trmm
the southern shores of the caspian sea
url https://nivar.irimo.ir/article_168045_0b8a10e0bd5b8c50e380a46c39398c61.pdf
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