GREY PREDICTION FOR THE REMAINING LIFE OF CORROSION NOZZLE OF SEPARATOR

In view of the problem that the triphase separator of offshore platform is confronted with serious partial corrosion which has less corrosion data and more corrosion factors. Grey prediction model is established for residual thickness of nozzle,at the entrance of separator,taking the phenomenon of t...

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Main Authors: YU ShuRong, LUO WenQiang
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Journal of Mechanical Strength 2017-01-01
Series:Jixie qiangdu
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.jxqd.net.cn/thesisDetails#10.16579/j.issn.1001.9669.2017.05.033
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author YU ShuRong
LUO WenQiang
author_facet YU ShuRong
LUO WenQiang
author_sort YU ShuRong
collection DOAJ
description In view of the problem that the triphase separator of offshore platform is confronted with serious partial corrosion which has less corrosion data and more corrosion factors. Grey prediction model is established for residual thickness of nozzle,at the entrance of separator,taking the phenomenon of the thickness with the corrosion reduction as grey global parameters. In view of the data are not pre-processed and the new information is not fully utilized in traditional GM( 1,1),moving the data and using the latest accumulated value as the setting condition to improve the original prediction model. Analyzing the problems happened in the process of improvement at the same time. The effectiveness of the improvement is proved by comparison with the accuracy of other three grey forecasting models. On this basis,the remaining life of the nozzle is calculated which could provide a reference for the management to develop the corresponding corrosion prevention plan.
format Article
id doaj-art-135104a3cfbf45cdb5484d6c35f799ae
institution Kabale University
issn 1001-9669
language zho
publishDate 2017-01-01
publisher Editorial Office of Journal of Mechanical Strength
record_format Article
series Jixie qiangdu
spelling doaj-art-135104a3cfbf45cdb5484d6c35f799ae2025-01-15T02:33:46ZzhoEditorial Office of Journal of Mechanical StrengthJixie qiangdu1001-96692017-01-01391193119830599941GREY PREDICTION FOR THE REMAINING LIFE OF CORROSION NOZZLE OF SEPARATORYU ShuRongLUO WenQiangIn view of the problem that the triphase separator of offshore platform is confronted with serious partial corrosion which has less corrosion data and more corrosion factors. Grey prediction model is established for residual thickness of nozzle,at the entrance of separator,taking the phenomenon of the thickness with the corrosion reduction as grey global parameters. In view of the data are not pre-processed and the new information is not fully utilized in traditional GM( 1,1),moving the data and using the latest accumulated value as the setting condition to improve the original prediction model. Analyzing the problems happened in the process of improvement at the same time. The effectiveness of the improvement is proved by comparison with the accuracy of other three grey forecasting models. On this basis,the remaining life of the nozzle is calculated which could provide a reference for the management to develop the corresponding corrosion prevention plan.http://www.jxqd.net.cn/thesisDetails#10.16579/j.issn.1001.9669.2017.05.033SeparatorCorrosionNozzleGM(1,1)PredictionRemaining life
spellingShingle YU ShuRong
LUO WenQiang
GREY PREDICTION FOR THE REMAINING LIFE OF CORROSION NOZZLE OF SEPARATOR
Jixie qiangdu
Separator
Corrosion
Nozzle
GM(1,1)
Prediction
Remaining life
title GREY PREDICTION FOR THE REMAINING LIFE OF CORROSION NOZZLE OF SEPARATOR
title_full GREY PREDICTION FOR THE REMAINING LIFE OF CORROSION NOZZLE OF SEPARATOR
title_fullStr GREY PREDICTION FOR THE REMAINING LIFE OF CORROSION NOZZLE OF SEPARATOR
title_full_unstemmed GREY PREDICTION FOR THE REMAINING LIFE OF CORROSION NOZZLE OF SEPARATOR
title_short GREY PREDICTION FOR THE REMAINING LIFE OF CORROSION NOZZLE OF SEPARATOR
title_sort grey prediction for the remaining life of corrosion nozzle of separator
topic Separator
Corrosion
Nozzle
GM(1,1)
Prediction
Remaining life
url http://www.jxqd.net.cn/thesisDetails#10.16579/j.issn.1001.9669.2017.05.033
work_keys_str_mv AT yushurong greypredictionfortheremaininglifeofcorrosionnozzleofseparator
AT luowenqiang greypredictionfortheremaininglifeofcorrosionnozzleofseparator