Modeling and Analysis of Epidemic Diffusion with Population Migration

An improved Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemic diffusion model with population migration between two cities is modeled. Global stability conditions for both the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium are analyzed and proved. The main contribution of this paper is reflecte...

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Main Authors: Ming Liu, Yihong Xiao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2013-01-01
Series:Journal of Applied Mathematics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/583648
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author Ming Liu
Yihong Xiao
author_facet Ming Liu
Yihong Xiao
author_sort Ming Liu
collection DOAJ
description An improved Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemic diffusion model with population migration between two cities is modeled. Global stability conditions for both the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium are analyzed and proved. The main contribution of this paper is reflected in epidemic modeling and analysis which considers unequal migration rates, and only susceptible individuals can migrate between the two cities. Numerical simulation shows when the epidemic diffusion system is stable, number of infected individuals in one city can reach zero, while the number of infected individuals in the other city is still positive. On the other hand, decreasing population migration in only one city seems not as effective as improving the recovery rate for controlling the epidemic diffusion.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1110-757X
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series Journal of Applied Mathematics
spelling doaj-art-10fdafb0d67e48a1b5d44f5c716bc3c42025-08-20T03:55:45ZengWileyJournal of Applied Mathematics1110-757X1687-00422013-01-01201310.1155/2013/583648583648Modeling and Analysis of Epidemic Diffusion with Population MigrationMing Liu0Yihong Xiao1Department of Management Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 210094, ChinaDepartment of Management Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 210094, ChinaAn improved Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemic diffusion model with population migration between two cities is modeled. Global stability conditions for both the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium are analyzed and proved. The main contribution of this paper is reflected in epidemic modeling and analysis which considers unequal migration rates, and only susceptible individuals can migrate between the two cities. Numerical simulation shows when the epidemic diffusion system is stable, number of infected individuals in one city can reach zero, while the number of infected individuals in the other city is still positive. On the other hand, decreasing population migration in only one city seems not as effective as improving the recovery rate for controlling the epidemic diffusion.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/583648
spellingShingle Ming Liu
Yihong Xiao
Modeling and Analysis of Epidemic Diffusion with Population Migration
Journal of Applied Mathematics
title Modeling and Analysis of Epidemic Diffusion with Population Migration
title_full Modeling and Analysis of Epidemic Diffusion with Population Migration
title_fullStr Modeling and Analysis of Epidemic Diffusion with Population Migration
title_full_unstemmed Modeling and Analysis of Epidemic Diffusion with Population Migration
title_short Modeling and Analysis of Epidemic Diffusion with Population Migration
title_sort modeling and analysis of epidemic diffusion with population migration
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/583648
work_keys_str_mv AT mingliu modelingandanalysisofepidemicdiffusionwithpopulationmigration
AT yihongxiao modelingandanalysisofepidemicdiffusionwithpopulationmigration