DEPENDENT PARAMETERS DEGRADATION RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT BASED ON JEFFREYS NONINFORMATIVE PRIOR PARAMETERS

The correlation between the parameters of the Gamma degradation process was described by the Jeffreys uninformative prior distribution. And the Bayesian model was used to obtain the full conditional distribution of each parameter. The MCMC method was used to get parameter posterior expectation estim...

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Main Authors: YIN ZeKai, GUO Yu
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Journal of Mechanical Strength 2024-02-01
Series:Jixie qiangdu
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.jxqd.net.cn/thesisDetails#10.16579/j.issn.1001.9669.2024.01.033
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author YIN ZeKai
GUO Yu
author_facet YIN ZeKai
GUO Yu
author_sort YIN ZeKai
collection DOAJ
description The correlation between the parameters of the Gamma degradation process was described by the Jeffreys uninformative prior distribution. And the Bayesian model was used to obtain the full conditional distribution of each parameter. The MCMC method was used to get parameter posterior expectation estimates. Finally, reliability was calculated according to the engineering examples and 100 simulations, the obtained reliability assessment was more conservative than the independent case in engineering practice. Thus, the product repair suggestion could be given earlier. And the higher the reliability requirement was .the oreater the deviation between the estimation results of the correlated case and the independent case was, and the life estimation error rate under the reliability of 0. 999 9 was up to 9.26%.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1001-9669
language zho
publishDate 2024-02-01
publisher Editorial Office of Journal of Mechanical Strength
record_format Article
series Jixie qiangdu
spelling doaj-art-10851e241cc04fb48dd2bc9b65ff065e2025-01-15T02:44:36ZzhoEditorial Office of Journal of Mechanical StrengthJixie qiangdu1001-96692024-02-014624925455272810DEPENDENT PARAMETERS DEGRADATION RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT BASED ON JEFFREYS NONINFORMATIVE PRIOR PARAMETERSYIN ZeKaiGUO YuThe correlation between the parameters of the Gamma degradation process was described by the Jeffreys uninformative prior distribution. And the Bayesian model was used to obtain the full conditional distribution of each parameter. The MCMC method was used to get parameter posterior expectation estimates. Finally, reliability was calculated according to the engineering examples and 100 simulations, the obtained reliability assessment was more conservative than the independent case in engineering practice. Thus, the product repair suggestion could be given earlier. And the higher the reliability requirement was .the oreater the deviation between the estimation results of the correlated case and the independent case was, and the life estimation error rate under the reliability of 0. 999 9 was up to 9.26%.http://www.jxqd.net.cn/thesisDetails#10.16579/j.issn.1001.9669.2024.01.033Gamma processDependent parametersJeffreys uninformative prior distributionMarkov chain Monte Carlo
spellingShingle YIN ZeKai
GUO Yu
DEPENDENT PARAMETERS DEGRADATION RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT BASED ON JEFFREYS NONINFORMATIVE PRIOR PARAMETERS
Jixie qiangdu
Gamma process
Dependent parameters
Jeffreys uninformative prior distribution
Markov chain Monte Carlo
title DEPENDENT PARAMETERS DEGRADATION RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT BASED ON JEFFREYS NONINFORMATIVE PRIOR PARAMETERS
title_full DEPENDENT PARAMETERS DEGRADATION RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT BASED ON JEFFREYS NONINFORMATIVE PRIOR PARAMETERS
title_fullStr DEPENDENT PARAMETERS DEGRADATION RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT BASED ON JEFFREYS NONINFORMATIVE PRIOR PARAMETERS
title_full_unstemmed DEPENDENT PARAMETERS DEGRADATION RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT BASED ON JEFFREYS NONINFORMATIVE PRIOR PARAMETERS
title_short DEPENDENT PARAMETERS DEGRADATION RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT BASED ON JEFFREYS NONINFORMATIVE PRIOR PARAMETERS
title_sort dependent parameters degradation reliability assessment based on jeffreys noninformative prior parameters
topic Gamma process
Dependent parameters
Jeffreys uninformative prior distribution
Markov chain Monte Carlo
url http://www.jxqd.net.cn/thesisDetails#10.16579/j.issn.1001.9669.2024.01.033
work_keys_str_mv AT yinzekai dependentparametersdegradationreliabilityassessmentbasedonjeffreysnoninformativepriorparameters
AT guoyu dependentparametersdegradationreliabilityassessmentbasedonjeffreysnoninformativepriorparameters