Pitfalls in interpreting calibration in comparative evaluations of risk models for precision lung cancer screening

Lung cancer screening by low-dose computed tomography reduces lung cancer mortality, but reliable risk-based selection of participants is crucial to maximize benefits and minimize harms. Multiple risk models have been developed for this purpose, and their discrimination and calibration performance i...

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Main Authors: Hermann Brenner, Clara Frick, Teresa Seum, Megha Bhardwaj
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-12-01
Series:npj Precision Oncology
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41698-024-00785-6
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author Hermann Brenner
Clara Frick
Teresa Seum
Megha Bhardwaj
author_facet Hermann Brenner
Clara Frick
Teresa Seum
Megha Bhardwaj
author_sort Hermann Brenner
collection DOAJ
description Lung cancer screening by low-dose computed tomography reduces lung cancer mortality, but reliable risk-based selection of participants is crucial to maximize benefits and minimize harms. Multiple risk models have been developed for this purpose, and their discrimination and calibration performance is commonly evaluated based on large-scale cohort studies. Using a recent comparative evaluation of 10 risk models as an example, we illustrate the merits, limitations and pitfalls of such evaluations.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2024-12-01
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series npj Precision Oncology
spelling doaj-art-0fbacf68f8aa427eb30c144813c80d0b2024-12-22T12:11:25ZengNature Portfolionpj Precision Oncology2397-768X2024-12-01811310.1038/s41698-024-00785-6Pitfalls in interpreting calibration in comparative evaluations of risk models for precision lung cancer screeningHermann Brenner0Clara Frick1Teresa Seum2Megha Bhardwaj3Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ)Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ)Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ)Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ)Lung cancer screening by low-dose computed tomography reduces lung cancer mortality, but reliable risk-based selection of participants is crucial to maximize benefits and minimize harms. Multiple risk models have been developed for this purpose, and their discrimination and calibration performance is commonly evaluated based on large-scale cohort studies. Using a recent comparative evaluation of 10 risk models as an example, we illustrate the merits, limitations and pitfalls of such evaluations.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41698-024-00785-6
spellingShingle Hermann Brenner
Clara Frick
Teresa Seum
Megha Bhardwaj
Pitfalls in interpreting calibration in comparative evaluations of risk models for precision lung cancer screening
npj Precision Oncology
title Pitfalls in interpreting calibration in comparative evaluations of risk models for precision lung cancer screening
title_full Pitfalls in interpreting calibration in comparative evaluations of risk models for precision lung cancer screening
title_fullStr Pitfalls in interpreting calibration in comparative evaluations of risk models for precision lung cancer screening
title_full_unstemmed Pitfalls in interpreting calibration in comparative evaluations of risk models for precision lung cancer screening
title_short Pitfalls in interpreting calibration in comparative evaluations of risk models for precision lung cancer screening
title_sort pitfalls in interpreting calibration in comparative evaluations of risk models for precision lung cancer screening
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41698-024-00785-6
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AT teresaseum pitfallsininterpretingcalibrationincomparativeevaluationsofriskmodelsforprecisionlungcancerscreening
AT meghabhardwaj pitfallsininterpretingcalibrationincomparativeevaluationsofriskmodelsforprecisionlungcancerscreening