Time Series Forecasting Method Based on Multi-Scale Feature Fusion and Autoformer

Accurate time series forecasting is crucial in fields such as business, finance, and meteorology. To achieve more precise predictions and effectively capture the potential cycles and stochastic characteristics at different scales in time series, this paper optimizes the network structure of the Auto...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Xiangkai Ma, Huaxiong Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-03-01
Series:Applied Sciences
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/7/3768
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Summary:Accurate time series forecasting is crucial in fields such as business, finance, and meteorology. To achieve more precise predictions and effectively capture the potential cycles and stochastic characteristics at different scales in time series, this paper optimizes the network structure of the Autoformer model. Based on multi-scale convolutional operations, a multi-scale feature fusion network is proposed, combined with date–time encoding to build the MD–Autoformer time series forecasting model, which enhances the model’s ability to capture information at different scales. In forecasting tasks across four fields—apparel sales, meteorology, finance, and disease—the proposed method achieved the lowest RMSE and MAE. Additionally, ablation experiments demonstrated the effectiveness and reliability of the proposed method. Combined with the TPE Bayesian optimization algorithm, the prediction error was further reduced, providing a reference for future research on time series forecasting methods.
ISSN:2076-3417