Stochastic Generation of Peak Ground Accelerations Based on Single Seismic Event Data for Safety Assessment of Structures

The Korean Peninsula, characterized by low-to-moderate seismicity, faces a shortage of strong ground motion records, posing challenges for the seismic safety assessment of critical infrastructures. Given the rarity of large-magnitude earthquakes, generating a variety of earthquakes with rational val...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jihoon Seok, Jeeho Lee
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-11-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/14/21/10031
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1846173503929188352
author Jihoon Seok
Jeeho Lee
author_facet Jihoon Seok
Jeeho Lee
author_sort Jihoon Seok
collection DOAJ
description The Korean Peninsula, characterized by low-to-moderate seismicity, faces a shortage of strong ground motion records, posing challenges for the seismic safety assessment of critical infrastructures. Given the rarity of large-magnitude earthquakes, generating a variety of earthquakes with rational values of Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) is essential for robust seismic fragility and risk analysis. To address this, a new stochastic approach is proposed to simulate artificial earthquakes at multiple source-to-site distances and derive the probability distribution of PGA based on recorded data from a single seismic event. Two key source parameters, seismic moment and corner frequency, are treated as random variables with a negative correlation, reflecting their uncertainties and dependence on source-to-site distance. The Monte Carlo simulation with copula sampling of the key source parameters generates Fourier spectra for artificial earthquakes, which are transformed into the time domain to yield PGA distributions at various distances. A comparison with recorded data shows that the proposed method effectively simulates ground motion intensities, with no statistically significant differences between the simulated results and recorded data (<inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>p</mi><mo>></mo><mn>0.05</mn></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>). The present method of determining PGA distributions provides a robust framework to enhance seismic risk analysis for the safety assessment of structures.
format Article
id doaj-art-0d35dda04e5d4791a88b151f1e25d925
institution Kabale University
issn 2076-3417
language English
publishDate 2024-11-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Applied Sciences
spelling doaj-art-0d35dda04e5d4791a88b151f1e25d9252024-11-08T14:34:12ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172024-11-0114211003110.3390/app142110031Stochastic Generation of Peak Ground Accelerations Based on Single Seismic Event Data for Safety Assessment of StructuresJihoon Seok0Jeeho Lee1Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Dongguk University, Seoul 04620, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Dongguk University, Seoul 04620, Republic of KoreaThe Korean Peninsula, characterized by low-to-moderate seismicity, faces a shortage of strong ground motion records, posing challenges for the seismic safety assessment of critical infrastructures. Given the rarity of large-magnitude earthquakes, generating a variety of earthquakes with rational values of Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) is essential for robust seismic fragility and risk analysis. To address this, a new stochastic approach is proposed to simulate artificial earthquakes at multiple source-to-site distances and derive the probability distribution of PGA based on recorded data from a single seismic event. Two key source parameters, seismic moment and corner frequency, are treated as random variables with a negative correlation, reflecting their uncertainties and dependence on source-to-site distance. The Monte Carlo simulation with copula sampling of the key source parameters generates Fourier spectra for artificial earthquakes, which are transformed into the time domain to yield PGA distributions at various distances. A comparison with recorded data shows that the proposed method effectively simulates ground motion intensities, with no statistically significant differences between the simulated results and recorded data (<inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>p</mi><mo>></mo><mn>0.05</mn></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>). The present method of determining PGA distributions provides a robust framework to enhance seismic risk analysis for the safety assessment of structures.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/14/21/10031stochastic approachpeak ground accelerationmonte carlo simulationcopula samplingseismic safety assessmentartificial earthquake generation
spellingShingle Jihoon Seok
Jeeho Lee
Stochastic Generation of Peak Ground Accelerations Based on Single Seismic Event Data for Safety Assessment of Structures
Applied Sciences
stochastic approach
peak ground acceleration
monte carlo simulation
copula sampling
seismic safety assessment
artificial earthquake generation
title Stochastic Generation of Peak Ground Accelerations Based on Single Seismic Event Data for Safety Assessment of Structures
title_full Stochastic Generation of Peak Ground Accelerations Based on Single Seismic Event Data for Safety Assessment of Structures
title_fullStr Stochastic Generation of Peak Ground Accelerations Based on Single Seismic Event Data for Safety Assessment of Structures
title_full_unstemmed Stochastic Generation of Peak Ground Accelerations Based on Single Seismic Event Data for Safety Assessment of Structures
title_short Stochastic Generation of Peak Ground Accelerations Based on Single Seismic Event Data for Safety Assessment of Structures
title_sort stochastic generation of peak ground accelerations based on single seismic event data for safety assessment of structures
topic stochastic approach
peak ground acceleration
monte carlo simulation
copula sampling
seismic safety assessment
artificial earthquake generation
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/14/21/10031
work_keys_str_mv AT jihoonseok stochasticgenerationofpeakgroundaccelerationsbasedonsingleseismiceventdataforsafetyassessmentofstructures
AT jeeholee stochasticgenerationofpeakgroundaccelerationsbasedonsingleseismiceventdataforsafetyassessmentofstructures