Sampling the diurnal and annual cycles of the Earth's energy imbalance with constellations of satellite-borne radiometers

<p>The Earth's energy imbalance, i.e. the difference between incoming solar radiation and outgoing reflected and emitted radiation, is the one quantity that ultimately controls the evolution of our climate system. However, despite its importance, there is limited knowledge of the exact ma...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: T. Hocking, T. Mauritsen, L. Megner
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2024-12-01
Series:Atmospheric Measurement Techniques
Online Access:https://amt.copernicus.org/articles/17/7077/2024/amt-17-7077-2024.pdf
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1846116504182980608
author T. Hocking
T. Hocking
T. Mauritsen
T. Mauritsen
L. Megner
L. Megner
author_facet T. Hocking
T. Hocking
T. Mauritsen
T. Mauritsen
L. Megner
L. Megner
author_sort T. Hocking
collection DOAJ
description <p>The Earth's energy imbalance, i.e. the difference between incoming solar radiation and outgoing reflected and emitted radiation, is the one quantity that ultimately controls the evolution of our climate system. However, despite its importance, there is limited knowledge of the exact magnitude of the energy imbalance, and the small net difference of about 1 W m<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−2</sup></span> between two large fluxes (approximately 340 W m<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−2</sup></span>) makes it challenging to measure directly. There has recently been renewed interest in using wide-field-of-view radiometers on board satellites to measure the outgoing radiation, as a possible method for deducing the global annual mean energy imbalance. Here we investigate how to sample in order to correctly determine the global annual mean imbalance and interannual trends, using a limited number of satellites. We simulate satellites in polar (90° inclination), sun-synchronous (98°) and precessing orbits (73, 82°), as well as constellations of these types of satellite orbits. We find that no single satellite provides sufficient sampling, both globally and of the diurnal and annual cycles, to reliably determine the global annual mean. If sun-synchronous satellites are used, at least six satellites are required for an uncertainty below 1 <span class="inline-formula">W m<sup>−2</sup></span>. One precessing satellite combined with one polar satellite results in root-mean-square errors of 0.08 to 0.10 <span class="inline-formula">W m<sup>−2</sup></span>, and a combination of two or three polar satellites results in root-mean-square errors of 0.10 or 0.04 <span class="inline-formula">W m<sup>−2</sup></span>, respectively. In conclusion, at least two satellites that complement each other are necessary to ensure global coverage and achieve a sampling uncertainty well below the current estimate of the energy imbalance.</p>
format Article
id doaj-art-08d7b6563356457bab06b8fca41e48a0
institution Kabale University
issn 1867-1381
1867-8548
language English
publishDate 2024-12-01
publisher Copernicus Publications
record_format Article
series Atmospheric Measurement Techniques
spelling doaj-art-08d7b6563356457bab06b8fca41e48a02024-12-18T16:29:10ZengCopernicus PublicationsAtmospheric Measurement Techniques1867-13811867-85482024-12-01177077709510.5194/amt-17-7077-2024Sampling the diurnal and annual cycles of the Earth's energy imbalance with constellations of satellite-borne radiometersT. Hocking0T. Hocking1T. Mauritsen2T. Mauritsen3L. Megner4L. Megner5Department of Meteorology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, SwedenBolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, SwedenDepartment of Meteorology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, SwedenBolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, SwedenDepartment of Meteorology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, SwedenBolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden<p>The Earth's energy imbalance, i.e. the difference between incoming solar radiation and outgoing reflected and emitted radiation, is the one quantity that ultimately controls the evolution of our climate system. However, despite its importance, there is limited knowledge of the exact magnitude of the energy imbalance, and the small net difference of about 1 W m<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−2</sup></span> between two large fluxes (approximately 340 W m<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−2</sup></span>) makes it challenging to measure directly. There has recently been renewed interest in using wide-field-of-view radiometers on board satellites to measure the outgoing radiation, as a possible method for deducing the global annual mean energy imbalance. Here we investigate how to sample in order to correctly determine the global annual mean imbalance and interannual trends, using a limited number of satellites. We simulate satellites in polar (90° inclination), sun-synchronous (98°) and precessing orbits (73, 82°), as well as constellations of these types of satellite orbits. We find that no single satellite provides sufficient sampling, both globally and of the diurnal and annual cycles, to reliably determine the global annual mean. If sun-synchronous satellites are used, at least six satellites are required for an uncertainty below 1 <span class="inline-formula">W m<sup>−2</sup></span>. One precessing satellite combined with one polar satellite results in root-mean-square errors of 0.08 to 0.10 <span class="inline-formula">W m<sup>−2</sup></span>, and a combination of two or three polar satellites results in root-mean-square errors of 0.10 or 0.04 <span class="inline-formula">W m<sup>−2</sup></span>, respectively. In conclusion, at least two satellites that complement each other are necessary to ensure global coverage and achieve a sampling uncertainty well below the current estimate of the energy imbalance.</p>https://amt.copernicus.org/articles/17/7077/2024/amt-17-7077-2024.pdf
spellingShingle T. Hocking
T. Hocking
T. Mauritsen
T. Mauritsen
L. Megner
L. Megner
Sampling the diurnal and annual cycles of the Earth's energy imbalance with constellations of satellite-borne radiometers
Atmospheric Measurement Techniques
title Sampling the diurnal and annual cycles of the Earth's energy imbalance with constellations of satellite-borne radiometers
title_full Sampling the diurnal and annual cycles of the Earth's energy imbalance with constellations of satellite-borne radiometers
title_fullStr Sampling the diurnal and annual cycles of the Earth's energy imbalance with constellations of satellite-borne radiometers
title_full_unstemmed Sampling the diurnal and annual cycles of the Earth's energy imbalance with constellations of satellite-borne radiometers
title_short Sampling the diurnal and annual cycles of the Earth's energy imbalance with constellations of satellite-borne radiometers
title_sort sampling the diurnal and annual cycles of the earth s energy imbalance with constellations of satellite borne radiometers
url https://amt.copernicus.org/articles/17/7077/2024/amt-17-7077-2024.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT thocking samplingthediurnalandannualcyclesoftheearthsenergyimbalancewithconstellationsofsatelliteborneradiometers
AT thocking samplingthediurnalandannualcyclesoftheearthsenergyimbalancewithconstellationsofsatelliteborneradiometers
AT tmauritsen samplingthediurnalandannualcyclesoftheearthsenergyimbalancewithconstellationsofsatelliteborneradiometers
AT tmauritsen samplingthediurnalandannualcyclesoftheearthsenergyimbalancewithconstellationsofsatelliteborneradiometers
AT lmegner samplingthediurnalandannualcyclesoftheearthsenergyimbalancewithconstellationsofsatelliteborneradiometers
AT lmegner samplingthediurnalandannualcyclesoftheearthsenergyimbalancewithconstellationsofsatelliteborneradiometers