Monetary policy of the National bank of Kazakhstan: chronological analysis and assessment

The article aims to determine the role and place of monetary policy in the economic development of the country. When conducting a chronological analysis, attention is focused on the periods of sharp devaluation of the national currency. A dynamic assessment of changes in the exchange rate against th...

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Main Authors: D. B. Kanagatova, V. N. Sidorenko
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Institute of Economics under the Science Committee of Ministry of Education and Science RK 2020-12-01
Series:Экономика: стратегия и практика
Subjects:
Online Access:https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/233
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author D. B. Kanagatova
V. N. Sidorenko
author_facet D. B. Kanagatova
V. N. Sidorenko
author_sort D. B. Kanagatova
collection DOAJ
description The article aims to determine the role and place of monetary policy in the economic development of the country. When conducting a chronological analysis, attention is focused on the periods of sharp devaluation of the national currency. A dynamic assessment of changes in the exchange rate against the us dollar was made. The policy of the National Bank in the context of the crisis is consistently analyzed and evaluated. An econometric assessment of the investment function is made to justify the monetary policy instruments used. The model is based on quarterly statistics for the last ten years in Kazakhstan. The authors revealed the necessary conditions for the occurrence of speculative attacks on the currency market. Based on these patterns, three options for the Central Bank’s actions to prevent speculative attacks are proposed. The resulting investment model of Kazakhstan allows concluding that the inflation targeting policy cannot ensure sustainable economic growth. The authors concluded that monetary policy plays an important role in macroeconomic regulation. At the same time, the raw material orientation of the economy imposes restrictions on the use of classical monetary policy instruments.Keywords: economic growth, monetary policy, inflation targeting, investments, speculative attacks, exchangerate.
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institution Kabale University
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publisher Institute of Economics under the Science Committee of Ministry of Education and Science RK
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spelling doaj-art-06353b04fdae4c82a86a594718f7c9912025-08-20T03:59:12ZengInstitute of Economics under the Science Committee of Ministry of Education and Science RKЭкономика: стратегия и практика1997-99672663-550X2020-12-011545157230Monetary policy of the National bank of Kazakhstan: chronological analysis and assessmentD. B. Kanagatova0V. N. Sidorenko1University Of NarkhozMoscow School of Economics, Lomonosov Moscow State UniversityThe article aims to determine the role and place of monetary policy in the economic development of the country. When conducting a chronological analysis, attention is focused on the periods of sharp devaluation of the national currency. A dynamic assessment of changes in the exchange rate against the us dollar was made. The policy of the National Bank in the context of the crisis is consistently analyzed and evaluated. An econometric assessment of the investment function is made to justify the monetary policy instruments used. The model is based on quarterly statistics for the last ten years in Kazakhstan. The authors revealed the necessary conditions for the occurrence of speculative attacks on the currency market. Based on these patterns, three options for the Central Bank’s actions to prevent speculative attacks are proposed. The resulting investment model of Kazakhstan allows concluding that the inflation targeting policy cannot ensure sustainable economic growth. The authors concluded that monetary policy plays an important role in macroeconomic regulation. At the same time, the raw material orientation of the economy imposes restrictions on the use of classical monetary policy instruments.Keywords: economic growth, monetary policy, inflation targeting, investments, speculative attacks, exchangerate.https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/233economic growthmonetary policyinflation targetinginvestmentsspeculative attacksexchangerate
spellingShingle D. B. Kanagatova
V. N. Sidorenko
Monetary policy of the National bank of Kazakhstan: chronological analysis and assessment
Экономика: стратегия и практика
economic growth
monetary policy
inflation targeting
investments
speculative attacks
exchangerate
title Monetary policy of the National bank of Kazakhstan: chronological analysis and assessment
title_full Monetary policy of the National bank of Kazakhstan: chronological analysis and assessment
title_fullStr Monetary policy of the National bank of Kazakhstan: chronological analysis and assessment
title_full_unstemmed Monetary policy of the National bank of Kazakhstan: chronological analysis and assessment
title_short Monetary policy of the National bank of Kazakhstan: chronological analysis and assessment
title_sort monetary policy of the national bank of kazakhstan chronological analysis and assessment
topic economic growth
monetary policy
inflation targeting
investments
speculative attacks
exchangerate
url https://esp.ieconom.kz/jour/article/view/233
work_keys_str_mv AT dbkanagatova monetarypolicyofthenationalbankofkazakhstanchronologicalanalysisandassessment
AT vnsidorenko monetarypolicyofthenationalbankofkazakhstanchronologicalanalysisandassessment