Accounting for bias due to outcome data missing not at random: comparison and illustration of two approaches to probabilistic bias analysis: a simulation study by Emily Kawabata, Daniel Major-Smith, Gemma L. Clayton, Chin Yang Shapland, Tim P. Morris, Alice R. Carter, Alba Fernández-Sanlés, Maria Carolina Borges, Kate Tilling, Gareth J. Griffith, Louise A. C. Millard, George Davey Smith, Deborah A. Lawlor, Rachael A. Hughes

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